- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (GFS27 15.5 m/s vs LEW 7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)