- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.6 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.5 m/s) (GFS27 17.6 m/s vs LEW 8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.3 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.1 m/s) (GFS27 18.3 m/s vs LEW 8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ICON Global 8.4 m/s vs LEW 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 11.5 m/s) (GFS27 16.2 m/s vs ECMWF 4.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)