- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (ECMWF 8.7 m/s vs LEW 2.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.9 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 14.5 m/s, gusts 18.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (LEW 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 11.8 m/s vs ICON Global 5.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs ICON Global 6.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability