- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.5 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.0°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs LEW 5.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 16.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)