- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.5 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 16.5 m/s vs ECMWF 11.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (LEW 14.8 m/s vs ECMWF 9.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)