- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 16.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.0 m/s, gusts 18.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 18.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (24.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 16.2 m/s vs ECMWF 9.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)