- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ECMWF 8.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (25.2 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.3 m/s) (GFS27 16.4 m/s vs ECMWF 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)