- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (20.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 85% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.2°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 11.1 m/s vs LEW 5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (LEW 15.4 m/s vs ICON Global 10.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (LEW 12.1 m/s vs ECMWF 6.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)