10.09.2026 (Thursday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (HRRR 8.7 m/s vs ICON Global 2.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
- High gust forecast (20.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.1 m/s vs ICON Global 8.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.6 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 16.6 m/s vs ECMWF 9.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
