- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.0°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)