20.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.0 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)
21.08.2026 (Friday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (HRRR 7.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.8 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.6°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.0 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.3 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.5°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (ECMWF 8.0 m/s vs ICON Global 1.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.8 m)
- Caution – short wave period (5.8 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.7 m)
- Caution – short wave period (5.6 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.3°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.6 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.6°C)
