- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (HRRR 7.5 m/s vs LEW 1.3 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability