- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (HRRR 11.3 m/s vs ECMWF 6.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 5.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.6 m/s vs ECMWF 4.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.4 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability