- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 9.1 m/s vs ECMWF 3.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 14.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability