- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs AROME 9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 13.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)