- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 12.3 m/s vs LEW 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 78% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability