- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs LEW 8.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.6 m/s, gusts 17.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability