- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 13.3 m/s vs ICON Global 8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability