- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 15.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 14.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 7.7 m/s vs ICON Global 2.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)