- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.8 m/s vs NAM 4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ICON Global 9.5 m/s vs LEW 3.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)