- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (GFS27 11.1 m/s vs ECMWF 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 8.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- High water temperature (25.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.5 m)
- High water temperature (25.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.7 s)
- High water temperature (25.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.0 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.5 s)
- High water temperature (25.1°C)