- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (AROME 7.8 m/s vs LEW 2.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 5.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)