- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (AROME 10.1 m/s vs ECMWF 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 5.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability