- Wind too light – not suitable (1.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- High gust forecast (21.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability