- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ACCESS-C 13.0 m/s vs LEW 7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.7°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (15.0°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ECMWF 12.2 m/s vs GFS27 6.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)