- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.7 m/s vs ICON EU 5.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability