- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs LEW 5.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.6 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 18.6 m/s vs LEW 12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ICON Global 15.6 m/s vs LEW 10.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.4 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ECMWF 14.2 m/s vs LEW 8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)